LUTM and Integrated Modelling
Join us to deep dive into practical applications of Land Use Transport Models and Integrated Modelling approaches across diverse topics of transport, land use and economics. Expand your knowledge and discover innovative modelling techniques for transport network resilience assessment, urban development and transport, and spatial economic dynamics in project appraisal.
Session Outline
- Session Chair - Ian Espada, Senior Traffic Modeller/ Analyst, SIDRA SOLUTIONS
- Elliot Roberts, Arup - Assessing network resilience using transport models
- Rathish Vijayarajan, Department of Transport and Planning VIC - City Shaping using Land Use Transport Models
- James Ramsey, VLC - Land use and transport interaction modelling using a simplified Spatial General Equilibrium (SGE) model: Case Study on Cross River Rail, Brisbane
- James Lennox, Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University - Spatial economic dynamics in transport project appraisal
Elliot Roberts, Arup - Assessing network resilience using transport models
Elliot Roberts
Arup - Senior Engineer
Elliot is a senior engineer in Arup’s Transport Planning team based in Sydney. He has 10 years’ experience in the development and application of traffic modelling across Australia and the UK. Elliot is passionate about the use of data and analytical methods to deliver insightful solutions.
Co-Author(s)
Andrew Weir | Arup
Andrew is a strategic transport planner and modeller with over 15 years' experience working in Australia, Southeast Asia, UK, EU and Middle East. He currently leads Arup's Transport Modelling and Insights practice across the Australasia Region, aiming to provide leading edge analytics to accelerate the transition to net zero transport.
Assessing network resilience using transport models
Our presentation highlights the need for resilient transport infrastructure in the face of worsening extreme weather events, and the role that transport modelling may play in helping to reduce adverse impacts. We emphasise the importance of defining and quantifying network resilience to enable proactive risk management, with the aim to reduce impacts to residents, communities, and economies. We'll introduce existing and emerging transport tools and methodologies that have the potential to play pivotal roles in this space across a range of resolutions; from detailed assessments of local areas, up to the identification of network-wide risks at strategic and region-wide scales. In the second part of our presentation, we’ll explore the application of microsimulation modelling for the assessment of bushfire evacuation scenarios in more detail, drawing upon the learnings from recent project experience in NSW to discuss the methodology and considerations for undertaking such a study.
Rathish Vijayarajan, Department of Transport and Planning VIC - City Shaping using Land Use Transport Models
Rathish Vijayarajan
Department of Transport and Planning VIC - Senior Transport and Land Use Modeller
Rathish Vijayarajan is an experienced strategic transport modeller. He has worked on several transport modelling projects in Australia, United Arab Emirates and India. He is currently working as Senior Transport and Land Use modeller with Department of Transport and Planning, Victoria
City Shaping using Land Use Transport Models
Transport models traditionally use fixed land use to forecast future transport demand. Fixed land use is used when it is assumed the transport schemes will not materially impact decisions of where people chose to live, or where firm chose to locate. However, transformational city-shaping transport schemes, such as the Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) impact this dynamics. This presentation intends to explore the policy levers associated with Melbourne’s Land Use Transport Model (LUTM), CityPlan. It examines future population response based on transport accessibility to planning, development controls, housing capacities and availability of real estate alternatives to a variety of locations in Melbourne metropolitan area.
James Ramsey, VLC - Land use and transport interaction modelling using a simplified Spatial General Equilibrium (SGE) model: Case Study on Cross River Rail, Brisbane
James Ramsey
VLC - Principal Consultant (Transport Modelling)
James is a Principal Consultant (Transport Modelling) in our Sydney office. He leads strategic transport modelling projects with a focus on delivering work of the highest quality, providing clients with the insights they need for their decision making.
Co-Author(s)
Stuart Donovan | VLC
As Executive Consultant (Sustainable Cities) & Market Leader (New Zealand) at VLC, Stuart provides consultancy services to public and private sector clients across Australia and New Zealand, often in the role of project manager and/or technical lead. In his work, Stuart relishes the opportunity to work closely with clients to help solve their challenging transport problems.
Venuri Jayatillaka | VLC
As a Senior Consultant at VLC, Venuri’s role is to provide support for project delivery teams by maintaining and managing transport models, analyzing modelling results, preparing reports, proposals and presentations and delivering project tasks for clients on time and to a high standard.
Daniel Veryard | VLC
Daniel Veryard is the State Director for NSW and WA leading the VLC team of technical staff in Sydney and Perth. He also leads projects spanning travel demand forecasting, data analytics, economic appraisal and model development.
Land use and transport interaction modelling using a simplified Spatial General Equilibrium (SGE) model: Case Study on Cross River Rail, Brisbane
| Recent research in transport, urban economics, and land use has led to a flourishing area of research in the integration of spatial equilibrium ideas with discrete choice utility models. In this vein we present in this paper a simplified spatial general equilibrium (SGE) land use model linked to a strategic transport model. We apply this model to assess the land use and transport impacts of Brisbane's Cross River Rail (CRR) project. We also undertake an economic appraisal on our model results and find that transport economic benefits of the CRR project increase by around 30-40% when accounting for land use change impacts. |
James Lennox, Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University - Spatial economic dynamics in transport project appraisal
James Lennox
Senior Research Fellow, Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University
James' research expertise is in the development and application of computable general equilibrium models
At Victoria University's Centre of Policy Studies, James leads the urban economic modelling programme and has developed large-scale, state-wide and national spatial general equilibrium models. These models are being applied to assess the long-run spatial and macroeconomic impacts of transport infrastructure investments and strategic land use planning interventions for public sector clients.
James has previously held a Marie Curie Fellowship at the Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (Venice, Italy), worked as a researcher at Landcare Research (Auckland and Christchurch, New Zealand) and held a postdoctoral fellowship at the CSIRO (Canberra, Australia). His previous work has addressed questions relating to climate policy, wider environmental, water and energy issues, and tourism.
Spatial economic dynamics in transport project appraisal
Major transport projects can alter the distribution of population and employment as households and firms respond to changes in accessibility. These land use changes can affect the distribution and scale of benefits delivered.
I present a dynamic spatial model (DSM) featuring internal migration, commuting and trade, and an illustrative application to a hypothetical rail upgrade in South East Queensland, Australia. Project expenditures, funding and financing are also accounted for within this framework. Internal migration proves critical to the distribution of benefits within and beyond the metropolitan region.
